What is Econometric Forecasting???????

• Involves  the  application  of  statistical  and  mathematical  models  to  forecast  future developments  in  the  economy.  Econometric  forecasting  allows  economists  to  review past  economic  trends  and  forecast  how  recent  economic  changes  will  alter  the patterns  of  past  trends.

What Are The Advantage of Econometric Forecasting?????

• A  major  advantage  with  econometric  forecasting  is  that  it  explicitly  allows  for  the impact  on  the  forecast  variable  of  changes  in  determining  forces.  The  process involves  estimating  the  quantitative  relationship  between  the  forecast  variable  and explanatory  variables , and  then  inserting  forecasts  of  the  influencing  variables  into  the  estimated  relationship.

COMPONENTS OF TIME SERIES

The four components of time series are:

1.Secular trend

2.Seasonal variation

3.Cyclical variation

4.Irregular variation

Secular trend:A time series data may show upward trend or downward trend for a period of years and this may be due to factors like increase in population,change in technological progress ,large scale shift in consumers demands,etc.For example,population increases over a period of time,price increases over a period of years,production of goods on the capital market of the country increases over a period of years.These are the examples of upward trend.The sales of a commodity may decrease over a period of time because of better products coming to the market.This is an example of declining trend or downward trend.The increase or decrease in the movements of a time series is called Secular trend.  

Seasonal variation: Seasonal variation are short-term fluctuation in a time series which occur periodically in a year.This continues to repeat  year after year.The major factors that are responsible for the repetitive pattern of seasonal variations are weather conditions and customs of people.More woollen clothes are sold in winter than in the season of summer .Regardless of the trend we can observe that in each year more ice creams are sold in summer and very little in Winter season.The sales in the departmental stores are more during festive seasons that in the normal days.

Cyclical variations:Cyclical variations are recurrent upward or downward movements in a time series but the period of cycle is greater than a year.Also these variations are not regular as seasonal variation.There are different types of cycles of varying in length and size.The ups and downs in business activities are the effects of cyclical variation.A business cycle showing these oscillatory movements has to pass through four phases-prosperity,recession,depression and recovery.In a business,these four phases are completed by passing one to another  in this order.

Irregular variation: Irregular variations are fluctuations in time series that are short in duration,erratic in nature and follow no regularity in the occurrence pattern.These variations are also referred to as residual variations since by definition they represent what is left out in a time series after trend ,cyclical and seasonal variations.Irregular fluctuations results due to the occurrence of unforeseen events like floods,earthquakes,wars,famines,etc. 

BMW 640i baru

BMW Malaysia Sdn Bhd, yakin dengan pasaran di negara ini dan menjangkakan jualan lebih tinggi tahun ini selepas 4,500 unit keretanya dijual, tahun lalu.

Pengurus Komunikasi Korporatnya, Sashi Ambi berkata, berdasarkan kenaikan 20 peratus dalam jualan pada suku pertama tahun ini, pihaknya percaya mencapai peningkatan jualan terutama menerusi pelancaran model baru BMW.

Katanya, kajian menunjukkan permintaan dan pelancaran kereta baru itu akan membawa jualan syarikat ke tahap lebih tinggi terutama bagi model BMW yang berjumlah 1,100 unit pada suku semasa.

“Strategi kami bagi Malaysia amat khusus. Kami akan berusaha ke arah mencatatkan jualan tinggi bagi tahun ini untuk semua jenama BMW,” katanya selepas melancarkan generasi baru BMW 6 Series Convertible (BMW 640i) di Kuala Lumpur, semalam. Hadir sama, Pengarah Urusannya, Geoff Briscoe dan Pengurus Produk, Kidd Yam.

Model baru BMW itu menggabungkan prestasi sporty dan diperkemaskan dengan keunggulan ciri kemewahan yang tiada tandingan. BMW 6 Series Convertible serba baru akan diperkenalkan dalam satu varian enjin iaitu BMW 640i Convertible yang menampilkan ciri enjin berkuasa 3.0 liter enam silinder.

Sementara itu, Briscoe berkata, model serba baru BMW 6 Series benar-benar memenuhi janji dalam pelbagai sudut, penetapan piawaian dalam segmen dari segi estetika, dinamik pemanduan, kecekapan dan keselesaan.

“Sememangnya tiada yang lebih evokatif dalam reka bentuk automobil daripada convertible yang panjang dan menggambarkan kereta sports berkuasa dengan pilihan bumbung memberikan perjalanan jauh dengan penuh kemewahan dan bergaya,” katanya.

Sejak pengenalan generasi kedua BMW 6 Series pada 2003, BMW Group sudah menjual lebih 50,000 unit kereta yang diidam ramai di seluruh dunia dan sebagai bukti terhadap tahap ketrampilan ciri mewahnya.

Potong kuku mengikut hari

Hari Sabtu	Nescaya keluar dari dalam tubuhnya ubat dan masuk kepadanya penyakit.
Hari Ahad	Nescaya keluar daripadanya kekayaan dan masuk kemiskinan.
Hari Isnin	Nescaya keluar daripadanya gila dan masuk sihat.
Hari Selasa	Nescaya keluar daripadanya sihat dan masuk penyakit.
Hari Rabu	Nescaya keluar daripadanya was-was dan masuk kepadanya kepapaan.
Hari Khamis	Nescaya keluar daripadanya gila dan masuk kepadanya sembuh dari penyakit.
Hari Jumaat	Nescaya keluar dosa-dosanya seperti pada hari dilahirkan oleh ibunya dan masuk kepadanya rahmat daripada Allah Taala.

Khazanah plans to sell healthcare support concessions

KUALA LUMPUR: Khazanah Nasional Bhd plans to sell its healthcare support concessions, valued at around RM150 million, to focus on its core healthcare services business.

It has hired an adviser, believed to be PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), to manage the sale of Pantai Medivest Sdn Bhd, which offers services like laundry to government hospitals and Pantai Fomema Sdn Bhd, which provides foreign worker health checks.

"We are in the process of disposing it. We are in talks with a few parties," said a Khazanah spokesperson. He declined to name the interested parties.

Khazanah wants to focus on its main hospital business which comes under Integrated Healthcare Holdings Sdn Bhd. This unit runs Singapore's Parkway Holdings, the region's biggest hospital operator, Malaysia's Pantai Holdings Bhd, and holds a small stake in Apollo Hospitals, India's biggest hospital chain.

Although the process has been going on for a few years, pricing is the main hurdle for the sale. The fact that the concessions are expiring this year and next also complicates matters.

Pantai Medivest's 15-year concession ends in 2011 while Fomema's contract runs out in 2012.

A search with Companies Commission of Malaysia reveals that in the financial year ended December 31 2008, Pantai Fomema made a profit after tax of RM41.58 million on the back of RM235.87 million revenue.

The company has current assets of RM71.7 million and is free of debt, with reserves of RM58.87 million.

Pantai Medivest made RM207.8 million revenue for 2008 and a profit after tax of RM14.8 million, documents from the commission showed. - By Shahriman Johari

Ringgit's uptrend set to continue

The ringgit is expected to strengthen further against the greenback next week as persistent funds flowed into the country to boost the local unit, dealers said.

The uptrend, seen since last Friday, continued unabated this week as the market reacted positively to a rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday which exerted some pressure on the US dollar worldwide.

They said market speculation of a further rate hike by the ECB was likely to push the local unit towards the 3.01 level, versus the US dollar, next week.

The dealer said the greenback was also under pressure on the possibility the US may face a government shutdown following President Barack Obama and the Congress's failure to approve the Federal budget. 

However, the dollar could find some support next week as demand resumed for the safe haven after Thursday's earthquake in Japan, Portugal's budget deficit and the depreciation of the euro after its recent high. 

For the week just-ended, the market moved within a tight range, touching a high of 3.02 on Friday, but came off its highs on profit taking. 

The ringgit closed little changed versus the US dollar at 3.0215/0232, from the 3.0250/0260, recorded last Friday.

It depreciated against the Singapore dollar to 2.4034/4049, from 2.3977/3991 previously, but rose against the Japanese yen to 3.5455/5484 from last week's 3.6137/6166. 

The local unit was also lower against the British pound at 4.9565/9605, from 4.8506/8531 previously, and dipped against the euro to 4.3519/3549 from 4.2849/2872, last Friday. -- Bernama

Alasan mengapa manusia mengeluarkan airmata saat menguap

Jika kita menguap, maka otomatis kelenjar air mata mengeluarkan cairan lebih banyak. Itu terjadi karena pada saat kita menguap, terjadi penutupan kelopak mata disertai tekanan dan ada beberapa otot muka yang bergerak, salah satunya adalah otot-otot yang ada di sekitar mata kita. Gerakan otot ini menyebabkan tekanan pada kelenjar air mata dan menimbulkan gerakan seperti memeras kelopak mata. Akibat dari adanya tekanan dan gerakan ini, secara otomatis kelenjar air mata akan mengakibatkan kelenjar air mata lebih banyak berproduksi dan mensekresikan air mata yang bisa keluar setelah kita menguap.


Belum ada jawaban pasti mengapa manusia atau binatang menguap. Selama ini yang kita ketahui adalah bahwa manusia atau binatang menguap karena lelah atau bosan. Tapi tidak ada bukti kuat yang mendukung anggapan ini.

Tapi ada penjelasan yang lebih masuk akal tentang hal ini. Kita menguap karena kandungan oksigen dalam paru-paru kita sudah berkurang. Penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pada saat kita bernafas normal, kita tidak menggunakan paru-paru pada secara penuh.

Di dalam paru-paru ada organ yang bernama alveoli, atau kantung udara. Alveoli ini berfungsi untuk mengalirkan oksigen ke dalam darah dan menyedot karbondioksida untuk kemudian dikeluarkan.

Jika alveoli tidak mendapatkan udara segar, dia akan kempis dan paru-paru agak mengeras. Otak kemudian segera bereaksi untuk memerintahkan mulut menguap dan menarik udara (oksigen).

Tetapi aspek-aspek tertentu dari menguap tetap merupakan misteri. Janin di dalam rahim, misalnya, juga menguap. Namum belum diketahui apakah memang janin menarik oksigen melalui paru-parunya. Menguap juga tampaknya merupakan gejala sklerosis ganda dengan sebab-sebab yang belum diketahui.

Heteroscedasticity

Heteroskedasticity (Value of Error Term Are Not Constant)

-Violates classical assumption 5, that errors have constant variance

(Var( i ) = σ2, ∀i )

-Not always realistic: if we put basketball players and mice into the

same dataset, most likely errors for basketball players would have

larger variance than errors for mice (if measured in the same units)

-Most likely to take place in cross-sectional models

-OLS estimates of ˆβ remain unbiased but have similar problems to
serial correlation









Example


A classic example of heteroscedasticity is that of income versus expenditure on meals. As one's income increases, the variability of food consumption will increase. A poorer person will spend a rather constant amount by always eating less expensive food; a wealthier person may occasionally buy inexpensive food and at other times eat expensive meals. Those with higher incomes display a greater variability of food consumption.




There are several methods to test for the presence of heteroscedasticity:


1) Park  test 
2) White test
3) Breusch-Pagan test


Remedies for heteroskedasticity



 1)  Weighted least squares
 2)  Heteroskedasticity-corrected standard errors
 3)  Redefining the variables




To Detect Heteroscedasticity:
     Plot  values of residual againts value of independent  variables..


Solution:
     Increase sample size data @ by  droping one of the highly correlated variables..

BNM maintains key rate, raises SRR to 2pc

As expected, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) left borrowing costs unchanged at 2.75 per cent yesterday but raised the amount of money banks must keep at the central bank.

Starting in April, the statutory reserve requirement (SRR) will be doubled to 2 per cent.

It said that the decision to raise the SRR was to manage the risk of excess liquidity from large shifts in capital flows into the Asian region which would result in financial and macroeconomic imbalances.

In the case of Malaysia, the assessment is that the rise in liquidity in the domestic financial system has thus far been well-managed.

BNM also said the SRR is an instrument to manage liquidity and not a signal on the stance of monetary policy like the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR).

The SRR ratio was cut to 1 per cent in March 2009 from as high as 4 per cent in October 2008.

In its analysis of the domestic economy, the Monetary Policy Committee said there is growth in private consumption as well as business spending activities despite modest growth in exports.

While growth is expected to be moderate in the earlier part of the year, it is likely to improve during the course of the year, driven by strong expansion in domestic demand, led by private consumption.

"Private investment is also projected to strengthen, underpinned by the improving outlook for the domestic economy and further expansion of new growth industries."

HSBC Bank said BNM appears to be upbeat on domestic growth prospects.

"Even if external demand may still be relatively lacklustre in its view, the domestic side of things appears to be giving the central bank much comfort," remarked economists Wellian Wiranto and Namrata Mittal.

"With today's statement, it is quite clear that some form of response is coming fairly soon in the form of rate hikes ... not because of oil in and of its own, but due to uptick in demand to show how comfortable it is with domestic demand growth."

Inflation is not as urgent an issue here as elsewhere, but BNM is already hinting at the possibility of re-hiking again soon, shifting focus towards demand-pull forces. 

Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Dr Chua Hak Bin expects the central bank to begin tightening from the next monetary policy meeting in May, when inflation climbs above 3 per cent.

"Another round of fuel price hikes may occur sooner to contain escalating fuel subsidy costs."

Chua also expects BNM to continue normalising the SRR, bringing the rate to 4 per cent by the year-end.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects a 50 basis points rate rise for the OPR this year to 3.25 per cent.







  *

Makna Bacaan Tahiyat Akhir

- Segala penghormatan yang berkat solat yang baik adalah untuk Allah.
- Sejahtera atas engkau wahai Nabi dan rahmat Allah serta keberkatannya.
- Sejahtera ke atas kami dan atas hamba-hamba ('ibaadi) Allah yang soleh.
- Aku naik saksi (Asyhadu) bahawa (an) tiada (laa) Tuhan (ilaaha) melainkan (illa )Allah dan aku naik saksi bahawasanya Muhammad itu adalah pesuruh Allah.
- Ya Tuhan kami, selawatkanlah ke atas Nabi Muhammad dan ke atas keluarganya.
- Sebagaimana Engkau selawatkan ke atas Ibrahim dan atas keluarga Ibrahim.
- Berkatilah ke atas Muhammad dan atas keluarganya sebagaimana Engkau berkati ke atas Ibrahim dan atas keluarga Ibrahim di dalam alam ini.
- Sesungguhnya Engkau Maha Terpuji lagi Maha Agung.

Automatic Stabilizers

We have seen that changes in government purchases, taxes and transfer payments can have an impact on equilibrium aggregate demand. When a government deliberately changes its spending or taxation policies in order to influence aggregate demand, we call that "fiscal policy." But there is another, more automatic way that spending and taxation can influence the economy.

• Some kinds of taxes rise more than proportionately when income increases. A progressive income tax is an example of this. "progressive" means that the tax rate is higher on higher incomes. Thus, when income in general increases, more people are in the higher tax brackets, and so the average tax rate is higher.
• Some kinds of transfer payments and government purchases rise when income drops. Unemployment compensation and income supplements for poor people are examples, as are purchases of services for the poor. When income in general drops, there are more poor people eligible for these transfers and services, so spending on them increases.

These taxes, transfers, and purchases are automatic stabilizers of the economy. To see why, think of what happens when the economy goes into a recession, perhaps because of a sudden drop in autonomous consumption. The progressive taxes drop even faster than income, and this decrease in taxes has a multiplier effect, partly offsetting the drop in autonomous consumption, so that equilibrium income doesn't drop as far or as fast as it could. Similarly, the transfers to and services for the poor increase, and these too have multiplier effects and tend to offset the drop in autonomous consumption. Thus, equilibrium aggregate demand drops less than it would have dropped simply because of the decrease in autonomous consumption alone. The economy is more stable.

This works the other way in a boom. An example is the year 1997 in the U. S. A. At the beginning of the year, our government was divided over plans to gradually reduce the government deficit to zero by sometime in the next century. By the end of the year, the deficit was much lower than anyone had anticipated. This happened because, over the year, steady growth of production reduced unemployment to its lowest rate in twenty-five years. This increased growth raised tax revenues and cut transfers, reducing the government deficit. Incidentally, the multiplier theory tells us that the dropping deficit will also have slowed the growth of production, partly offsetting the rise in aggregate demand that would otherwise have occurred.

On the whole, these automatic stabilizers are probably a good thing. If the government has to pass a law to cut taxes in a recession, for example, that can be a time-consuming process. First, the government has to be made aware that there is a recession, and then it makes a law, and then the law takes some time to go into effect. By the time it has an effect, the recession may very well be over and a boom going on -- so that instead of stabilizing the economy, the tax cut makes it less stable. Automatic stabilizers can act in a much quicker and more timely fashion.

We may also hope that the government deficits in recession periods will be offset by government surpluses in boom periods. This is called a "cyclically balanced budget," and probably is the only realistic kind of balanced budget. Unfortunately, it is a potentiality -- a hope -- not a fact.

*Transfer Payment = Payment of money by government to individual for which the payer receive no good @ service directly in return..

The Simple Keynesian Model

The Simple Keynesian Model, which is also known as the Keynesian Cross, emphasizes one basic point. That point is that a decrease in aggregate demand can lead to a stable equilibrium with substantial unemployment.

The Simple Keynesian Model application first explains the roles of consumption and investment and then explains the accounting identity Y = C + I + G. Together, these elements determine the equilibrium level of output.

The policy analysis experiments study the effects of animal spirits and fiscal policy. The numerical results illustrate the calculation of a fiscal policy multiplier.

A concluding experiment extends the model to make investment a function of the interest rate. Graphing the shifts in investment caused by changes in interest rates then reveals a simple version of the IS curve found in an IS/LM analysis.

Classical economics

Widely regarded as the first modern school of economic thought. Its major developers include Adam Smith, Jean-Baptiste Say, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus and John Stuart Mill.

Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations in 1776 is usually considered to mark the beginning of classical economics. The school was active into the mid 19th century and was followed byneoclassical economics in Britain beginning around 1870, or, in Marx's definition by "vulgar political economy" from the 1830s. The definition of classical economics is debated, particularly the period 1830–70 and the connection to neoclassical economics. The term "classical economics" was coined by Karl Marx to refer to Ricardian economics – the economics of David Ricardo and James Mill and their predecessors – but usage was subsequently extended to include the followers of Ricardo.

There are three basic assumptions of Classical Economics theories. They are:

• Flexible Prices: The prices of everything, the commodities, labor (wages), land (rent), etc. must be both upwardly and downwardly mobile. Unfortunately, in reality, it has been observed that these prices are not as readily flexible downwards as they are upwards, due a variety of market imperfections, like laws, unions, etc.
• Say's Law: 'Supply creates its own demand'. The Say's law suggests that the aggregate production in an economy must generate an income enough to purchase all of the economy's output. In other words, if a good is produced, it has to be bought. Unfortunately, this assumption also does not hold good today, as most economies today are demand driven (production is based on demand. Demand is not based on production or supply).
• Savings - Investment Equality: This assumption requires the household savings to equal the capital investment expenditures. Now it takes no genius to know, that this is rarely the case. Yet, should the savings not equal the investment, the 'flexible' interest rates should be able to restore the equilibrium.

Malaysia should focus on new emerging markets

Malaysia, the world's second largest palm oil exporter, should focus on new emerging markets to offset declining sales in other countries like main buyers China and India.

TH Plantations Bhd chief executive officer Datuk Zainal Azwar Zainal Aminuddin said this would include markets such as Eastern Europe and Pakistan.

"We used to be number one but now overtaken by Indonesia. We have to be more aggressive in cushioning this.

"This effort should be spearheaded by the Malaysian Palm Oil Council," Zainal told Business Times at the sidelines of the Bursa Malaysia Palm and Lauric Oils Conference and Exhibition Price Outlook 2011.

Indonesia overtook Malaysia in 2007 to become the world's number one palm oil producer but traders said the republic continues to grab Malaysia's market share by selling cheaper palm oil to China and India.

As a result, Malaysia's exports to China and India have been declining over the past few years partly due to the undercutting.

India and China also protect their own vegetable oil farmers by increasing import tariffs.

IJM Plantations Bhd chief executive officer and managing director Joseph Tek Choon Yee however said the decline is more of a technical correction rather than Indonesia's move.

"The supply demand situation right now is simply too tight. Although Indonesia and Malaysia account for 85 per cent of the world's palm oil market share, there is still not enough palm oil for the world.

"I believe this is more of a technical correction, China and India demand will come back again in the future," said Tek.

Malaysia GDP Growth Rate

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Malaysia expanded 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010 over the previous quarter. From 2000 until 2010, Malaysia's average quarterly GDP Growth was 1.20 percent reaching an historical high of 5.70 percent in September of 2009 and a record low of -7.80 percent in March of 2009. Malaysia is a rapidly developing economy in Asia. Malaysia, a middle-income country, has transformed itself since the 1970s from a producer of raw materials into an emerging multi-sector economy. The Government of Malaysia is continuing efforts to boost domestic demand to wean the economy off of its dependence on exports. Nevertheless, exports - particularly of electronics - remain a significant driver of the economy.

Finie Don & Fimie Don

Izinkan akak copy gambo ni ya fimie:) TQ

Dr kiri : Fizie Don, Fimie Don & Finie Don

Salam sume...ngah wat ape tu...Huhu...Malam semalam aku ade la membelek2 FB Si Fimie. Apa y mengejutkan aku ialah kakak Si Fimie tu pon pelakon jugak..Tp kurang popular la....Nama dia Finie..Antara drama y pernah kakak si Fimie ni berlakon ialah kisah kaisara (tu pon pelakon pembantu je)...Maknanya Si Fimie ni lbh popular la berbnding kakak dia...Mungkin cite ni korang da lama tahu tp aku tetap nk bgtau jugak sbb aku br ja tahu...hihihi...Blh tahan la family diorang ni...Happy go lucky..Suka tau I tgk....

Rozita Che Wan Berudung

Cantek seh bila rozita che wan pakai tudung...Sedap mata memandang...Bile la dia nak dpt hidayh kan...Klu la aku cntek cam dia ni, kan best...hahaha:p.....Anyway bersyukurlah dga apa yang ada....

Grooming Wif Dara.Com

Cube teka, y mana satu saye????Huhu...y pakai baju purple tu la.....hehe..Wif Puan Anizon..So sporting tau.....

x ingat dah nape aku gelak sakan tu....

Tangkap gambo ramai2...best sgt2..Cube cari y mana satu I..hihi...I yang kat depan skali tu la..Duduk, 4 dari kanan...

peace:)

Ramai kan:)

Aku dgn muka seyesnya.....

No idea:(

Aku ni suka gelakkan...haish...

Salam sume...ngah wat pe tu??hehe..Actually, pada hari jumaat (18/2/2011), Puan Anizon dan Puan Dinie Awaluddin dari Dara.Com ade datang ke UiTM Seri Iskandar untuk sesi grooming bersempena dengan minggu "Untukmu Wanita" y dianjurkan oleh Bachelor Economic Student (BESTAC). Best sgt2 program tu coz Puan Anizon ada la tunjukkan cara2 nak pakai selendang....Ramai la student y hadir..Almaklumlah, masing2 nak tampil cantek, termasuk la aku..hihihi... Tapi sesi ni aku x brapa minat la....

Ha..y paling menarik minat aku masa sesi ngan Puan Dinie awaluddin...Sesi mekap..Hehe..best2...Tapi x byk sgt pon input y aku dapat coz Puan Dinie just bagi penerangan y asas fasal mekap....Y paling aku ingat kata2 Puan Dinie "MEKAP NI JUST UNTUK KECANTIKAN SEMENTARA". Huhu..pastu dia jugak ada sebut y "X SUME ARTIS TU CANTEK....DIORANG CANTEK PON SEBAB MEKAP"...KLU X MEKAP, HAMPEH, CAM MAYAT HIDUP(SENDIRI PUNYA AYAT, HIHIHI)... Time sesi ni, Puan Anizon ada jugak duduk dekat aku coz ada tempat duduk kosong kat ctu...Aku sempat la tanya fasal eyeliner y x smudge...Pastu dia cakap MAC ok la....Bl aku tanya harga, aduyaiii...RM 160 +++ la...Habis duit PT aku....

K la, penat aku menaip....Enjoy ya dgn gambo2 kat atas ni..hohoho....

p/s Lupa lak nak bgtau..Aku dpt cabutan bertuah tau time ni..hihihi....For the first time dlm hidup( memang jodoh aku ngan dara.com la, muahaha)....Peace, dapat selendang tau;)

Selendang AKA Shawl

Hye u all....Saje je nak luahkan isi hati kat cni...sejak duamenjak ni, kawan2 y kat UiTM Perak ni semakin sakan menggayakan selendang.....teringin jugak cek tp muka cek y bulat ni menghalang niat ni..Tp sekarng rasanya da blh pakai kot coz da ada anak tudung y keras so, x la nmpak bentuk muka sgt....

Selendang sekarng pon da bermcm2 patern, cantek sumenya....Sekali-sekala nak jugak tukar fesyen kan.. Nak nmpak lbh stylo...... hehe:)

Jenis2 selendang y santek2:) Enjoy tau.....Lbh2 lg kpd peminat selendang la..

Apa ke namanya ntah.....Agak menjd plihan...

Y macam ni korang pernah tgk x???Kawan aku panggil shawl ni tudung tasbih coz kat ujung tudung ni ada mcm biji tasbih..hihihi...Jgn marah :)

Y kat atas tu nama pashmina..Aku paling suka y ni la coz besar dan blh menutup aurat. Cuma y x bestnya, akan mudah rosak terutama skali dekat tmpat y kita pin...

X tau la nama pa shawl ni..huhu....Sowy

Shawl ni memang byk la remaja skrang pakai...Cantek kan..I like..

Bob Lokman

Tuan Guru Nik Aziz

Ayam Bersos Tiram & Cili Kering

Bahan-Bahan:
½ ekor ayam 3 inci halia - seelok-eloknya halia muda 2 biji bawang putih ( di hiris bulat) 1 biji bawang besar ( di hiris bulat) 8-10 tangkai cili kering ( di potong 2 inci) 3 sudu besar sos tiram	Sedikit daun bawang Sedikit garam dan serbuk perasa Sedikit minyak Sedikit air Sedikit tepung jagung (bancuh dgn sedikit air)
Cara:
Ayam di potong kecil-kecil. Basuh bersih ayam tersebut dan lumurkan sedikit sahaja garam. Panaskan minyak dan goreng ayam tersebut selama 10 minit (agak-agak masak). Kemudian tumiskan bawang besar, halia dan bawang putih (dengan minyak yg sedikit). Bila agak garing masukkan ayam tadi bersama-sama sos tiram dan cili kering. Kacau dengan api yang perlahan. Masukkan garam (agak-agak kerana sos tiram dan ayam tersebut telah masin) , serbuk perasa dan bancuhan tepung jagung tadi.

Babyku

Benarlah seperti apa yang dikatakan oleh Prof Fauzi Harun, "semester akhir ialah masa untuk goyang kaki"(Horey).Huh...1 minggu aku hanya perlu hadiri 4 claz...hanya 3 hari ada claz..So, hari2 y lain apa perlu aku buat??? Dok dalam bilik pastu kuar tgk TV (Sampai naik pening)..Itu je la y mampu aku buat time x de claz....Sgt membosankan..Lain la klu aku da kat kampung (Kampung Bukit Payung, Pokok Sena, Kedah)..Macam2 aku blh buat klu kat kampung, cabut rumput, mengasuh anak sedara, memasak, gunting pokok, melawat cousin2 n macam lagi la....hampir sebulan x blk kampung(Hok alah, baru sebulan) ....Semalam hatiku tiba2 tersentuh tatkala tgk anak sedaraku da pandai meniarap(tgk kat FB)..Airmataku tiba2 mengalir tanpa aku sedari(Haisshhh, touching tol) ...Sudah besar rupanya anak sedaraku...anyway kat cni korang leh la tgk gambo dia y da blh meniarap....So cute...Arif Waziff, miss u :( Enjoooyyyyy Youurrsellf...Daaaa

Kawan, Sahabat dan Teman..

"SAHABAT,satu nama penuh makna..
ia hadir tika tawa,
ia dtg tika duka..
tiada pd CINTA..
tiada pd LAFAZ..
hanya kejujuran menyulami hati..
hanya keikhlasan menyirami jiwa..
kebaikan dihargai..
kesalahan dimaafi..
andai itu dinamakan SAHABAT..
bajailah ia..
moga kekal abadi selamanya..."

Khalil Mestica

wow..hot news.... x pernah aku sangka rupa-rupanya Khalil Khusairi (mestica ) merupakan x-student UiTM Kedah...huhu..so xcited...

UNIQUE SCHEDULE

Berikut adalah jadual persembahan UNIC pada bulan Februari 2011. Jika mahu menjemput UNIC mengadakan persembahan di tempat anda, boleh hubungi :

012-417 4450 (NISA)

Maher Zain (Live In Concert)

MAHER ZAIN LIVE IN CONCERT. TICKET PRICES: RM 297.00, RM 253.00,

RM 203.00, RM 103.00, RM 53.00

Justin Bieber and Selena Gomez are Dating?

After Justin Bieber was spotted tongue banging Jasmine Villegas and cruising around on a yacht with her, he announced that he's single.

Cue the Justin and Selena Gomez dating rumors cause they're back again. Selena has shot down rumors in the past that they're more than just friends. She's a tall girl and she told MTV that Justin is too short and she won't stop wearing heels for him. However, a lot can change in a few months.

People magazine reports, "Justin Bieber and Selena Gomez were spotted joking around and laughing at Menchie's in Encino, Calif. When it was time to leave, an onlooker tells us, "She grabbed Justin's hand to pull him out of the store and they held hands as they left." Oh no. Selena, you in danjah gurl!